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Despite blue skies and pleasant weather on Sunday, the Atlantic Ocean was ferocious in Bradley Beach, N.J.  (Photo: Bud McCormick)
Despite blue skies and pleasant weather on Sunday, the Atlantic Ocean was ferocious in Bradley Beach, N.J. (Photo: Bud McCormick)
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Happy Labor Day, Hermine: Coastal flooding and wind still possible for NJ

Expect minor to moderate coastal flooding, gusty winds, and possibly a few raindrops as Hermine makes its closest pass to the Garden State.

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A sign on I-195 warning of Hermine's arrival in New Jersey
A sign on I-195 warning of Hermine's arrival in New Jersey (Dan Alexander, Townsquare Media NJ)
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12:35pm Sunday Update: What you need to know as Hermine arrives in New Jersey

Hermine is now considered a post-tropical cyclone as of Saturday, according to the National Hurricane Center. As the storm heads for New Jersey in what appears to be a couple day stay for Hermine, we will keep you posted on-air and online on both the storms progress from Meteorologist Dan Zarrow and officials around New Jersey.

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Hermine Surge Surf WInd Rain 20160904
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Hermine jogs east slightly: ‘major’ flooding still likely for NJ

There are improvements to the Hermine forecast. But with a hurricane strength storm just 200 miles off the Jersey Shore, near-record coastal flooding remains probable.

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Approximate high tide times and forecast surge levels for Saturday through Tuesday.  (Photo: Dan Zarrow, Townsquare Media)
Approximate high tide times and forecast surge levels for Saturday through Tuesday. (Photo: Dan Zarrow, Townsquare Media)
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Hermine headlines for NJ: Bad coastal flooding, possible power outages

As New Jersey approaches primetime for the impacts of Hermine, the latest forecast looks especially dire for the Jersey Shore.

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The time for hesitation is over: Hermine's storm surge and coastal flooding threat will be severe for the Jersey Shore.  (Graph: NOAA / NWS MDL)
The time for hesitation is over: Hermine's storm surge and coastal flooding threat will be severe for the Jersey Shore. (Graph: NOAA / NWS MDL)
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Record surge and flooding expected at the Jersey Shore

As Hermine meanders past the New Jersey coast over the next several days, powerful easterly winds will push a huge amount of water toward the shore.

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Hermine's biggest impacts on New Jersey, in decreasing order of severity: Storm Surge, Rough Surf, Damaging Winds, Torrential Rain.  (Map image: College of DuPage Meteorology)
Hermine's biggest impacts on New Jersey, in decreasing order of severity: Storm Surge, Rough Surf, Damaging Winds, Torrential Rain. (Map image: College of DuPage Meteorology)
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9 things to know as Hermine takes aim at NJ this weekend

At best, Labor Day Weekend weather will be a bust for most of New Jersey. At worst, storm surge will lead to significant flooding along the Jersey Shore.

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Hermine Storm Surge 20160902
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How bad will Hermine’s storm surge be in your neighborhood?

A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for the Jersey Shore, from Sandy Hook to the Delaware Bay, as NJ prepares to feel Hermine's impacts starting Saturday.

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Map showing where National Hurricane Center's prototype storm surge watch would be issued along the Atlantic coast.  (NOAA / NHC)
Map showing where National Hurricane Center's prototype storm surge watch would be issued along the Atlantic coast. (NOAA / NHC)
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Hermine may push up to 5 feet of surge toward the Jersey Shore

While Hermine's expected track didn't change much this morning, the forecast along the Jersey Shore just keeps getting worse.

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Probability of tropical storm force winds (39+ mph) from Hermine.  New Jersey now falls in the 20-40% chance range.  (NOAA / NHC)
Probability of tropical storm force winds (39+ mph) from Hermine. New Jersey now falls in the 20-40% chance range. (NOAA / NHC)
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Latest Hermine forecast: Good news and bad news for NJ

The center of Hermine will stay well east of the Garden State, limiting heavy rain and gusty winds, but rough surf will be a big problem for most of next week.

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Hermine Headlines 20160901
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Hermine now a hurricane – Tropical Storm Watch issued for NJ

Hurricane Hermine will pack 75 mph winds as it slams into Florida, with rain, wind, and surf impacts still possible for New Jersey over the Labor Day Weekend.

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Thursday morning's water vapor satellite image with superimposed wind vectors, shows an imposing and better organized storm.  (College of DuPage Meteorology)
Thursday morning's water vapor satellite image with superimposed wind vectors, shows an imposing and better organized storm. (College of DuPage Meteorology)
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Hermine slows down and nudges east: NJ right on the edge

The forecast for Tropical Storm Hermine remains in flux, as the latest data shows a shift back to the east along with a later impact on the Garden State.

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Tropical Storm Hermine: GFS model forecast at 8 a.m. Sunday (top-left), NAM model forecast at 8 a.m. Sunday (top-right), and the latest forecast track from the National Hurricane Center (bottom).
Tropical Storm Hermine: GFS model forecast at 8 a.m. Sunday (top-left), NAM model forecast at 8 a.m. Sunday (top-right), and the latest forecast track from the National Hurricane Center (bottom).
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Newly upgraded Tropical Storm Hermine may impact NJ this weekend

The latest data suggests the Hermine will hug close to the Atlantic coast, raising New Jersey's chance for weather and surf impacts over the Labor Day Weekend.

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