Update – Latest On Joaquin

A lot of nervous, storm weary Jersey Shore residents are keeping a close eye on Hurricane Joaquin, and so is our Meteorologist Dan Zarrow.

As the days pass the and Joaquin gets closer, some things are more clear, others still a bit of a mystery as many factors play in to the ultimate track of Joaquin. Here's the latest statement from Meteorologist Dan Zarrow.

"Joaquin strengthened dramatically overnight, and is now a category 3 "major" hurricane with sustained wind speeds of 120mph. The storm will slam into the Bahamas today before making a sharp turn northward tomorrow (Friday) morning.

The consensus forecast is still for Hurricane Joaquin to make landfall along the U.S. East Coast - likely somewhere south of New Jersey. This is still not a great situation for us, as the threat remains for significant weather and surf impacts...heavy rain, very strong winds and flooding (coastal, river and flash).

The vast majority of forecast models agree on this solution, putting landfall along the Maryland-Virginia-North Carolina coast. But confidence in this forecast remains sketchy as there are admittedly a few outlier models that either 1.) slam Joaquin directly into New Jersey, or 2.) send it out to sea.

The indirect effects of Joaquin will start to be felt Friday as winds increase and heavy rain could arrive way ahead of the storm.The potentially worst rain, wind and surge impacts of Joaquin are expected late Sunday into Monday."

You can get the very latest with Dan Zarrow's forecast anytime.