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Approximate high tide times and forecast surge levels for Saturday through Tuesday.  (Photo: Dan Zarrow, Townsquare Media)
Approximate high tide times and forecast surge levels for Saturday through Tuesday. (Photo: Dan Zarrow, Townsquare Media)
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Hermine headlines for NJ: Bad coastal flooding, possible power outages

As New Jersey approaches primetime for the impacts of Hermine, the latest forecast looks especially dire for the Jersey Shore.

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The time for hesitation is over: Hermine's storm surge and coastal flooding threat will be severe for the Jersey Shore.  (Graph: NOAA / NWS MDL)
The time for hesitation is over: Hermine's storm surge and coastal flooding threat will be severe for the Jersey Shore. (Graph: NOAA / NWS MDL)
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Record surge and flooding expected at the Jersey Shore

As Hermine meanders past the New Jersey coast over the next several days, powerful easterly winds will push a huge amount of water toward the shore.

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Hermine's biggest impacts on New Jersey, in decreasing order of severity: Storm Surge, Rough Surf, Damaging Winds, Torrential Rain.  (Map image: College of DuPage Meteorology)
Hermine's biggest impacts on New Jersey, in decreasing order of severity: Storm Surge, Rough Surf, Damaging Winds, Torrential Rain. (Map image: College of DuPage Meteorology)
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9 things to know as Hermine takes aim at NJ this weekend

At best, Labor Day Weekend weather will be a bust for most of New Jersey. At worst, storm surge will lead to significant flooding along the Jersey Shore.

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Hermine Storm Surge 20160902
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How bad will Hermine’s storm surge be in your neighborhood?

A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for the Jersey Shore, from Sandy Hook to the Delaware Bay, as NJ prepares to feel Hermine's impacts starting Saturday.

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Map showing where National Hurricane Center's prototype storm surge watch would be issued along the Atlantic coast.  (NOAA / NHC)
Map showing where National Hurricane Center's prototype storm surge watch would be issued along the Atlantic coast. (NOAA / NHC)
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Hermine may push up to 5 feet of surge toward the Jersey Shore

While Hermine's expected track didn't change much this morning, the forecast along the Jersey Shore just keeps getting worse.

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Probability of tropical storm force winds (39+ mph) from Hermine.  New Jersey now falls in the 20-40% chance range.  (NOAA / NHC)
Probability of tropical storm force winds (39+ mph) from Hermine. New Jersey now falls in the 20-40% chance range. (NOAA / NHC)
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Latest Hermine forecast: Good news and bad news for NJ

The center of Hermine will stay well east of the Garden State, limiting heavy rain and gusty winds, but rough surf will be a big problem for most of next week.

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Hermine Headlines 20160901
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Hermine now a hurricane – Tropical Storm Watch issued for NJ

Hurricane Hermine will pack 75 mph winds as it slams into Florida, with rain, wind, and surf impacts still possible for New Jersey over the Labor Day Weekend.

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Thursday morning's water vapor satellite image with superimposed wind vectors, shows an imposing and better organized storm.  (College of DuPage Meteorology)
Thursday morning's water vapor satellite image with superimposed wind vectors, shows an imposing and better organized storm. (College of DuPage Meteorology)
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Hermine slows down and nudges east: NJ right on the edge

The forecast for Tropical Storm Hermine remains in flux, as the latest data shows a shift back to the east along with a later impact on the Garden State.

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Tropical Storm Hermine: GFS model forecast at 8 a.m. Sunday (top-left), NAM model forecast at 8 a.m. Sunday (top-right), and the latest forecast track from the National Hurricane Center (bottom).
Tropical Storm Hermine: GFS model forecast at 8 a.m. Sunday (top-left), NAM model forecast at 8 a.m. Sunday (top-right), and the latest forecast track from the National Hurricane Center (bottom).
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Newly upgraded Tropical Storm Hermine may impact NJ this weekend

The latest data suggests the Hermine will hug close to the Atlantic coast, raising New Jersey's chance for weather and surf impacts over the Labor Day Weekend.

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To break the grip of a rip current, swim parallel to the shore and out of the powerful outgoing current.  (NOAA / NWS)
To break the grip of a rip current, swim parallel to the shore and out of the powerful outgoing current. (NOAA / NWS)
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Rip currents and rough surf, so what?

Hazardous conditions are expected to continue along the Jersey Shore through the Labor Day Weekend. Do you know how to "break the grip" of a rip?

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A trio of tropical cyclones are spinning throughout the Atlantic basin.  (NOAA / NHC)
A trio of tropical cyclones are spinning throughout the Atlantic basin. (NOAA / NHC)
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A trio of tropical disturbances: What does it mean for NJ?

Right on schedule, the tropics are heating up as the big Labor Day Weekend approaches.

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lavallette-boardwalk
lavallette-nj.org
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A brief taste of high heat and humidity Friday for NJ

The heat index soars to 100 degrees Friday afternoon across the Garden State, but temperatures and humidity will be more reasonable for the weekend.

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Category: New Jersey News, News, Weather Tags:

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