Dan Zarrow's Forecast

Nasty, inclement weather is likely overnight, but the highest snow totals from this nor'easter will end up well west of New Jersey.

This is not going to be a 'snow' storm for most of New Jersey, as rain, wintry mix, and wind remain the big headlines in the forecast.

Arctic air returns late Friday, and we continue to track a powerful coastal storm that will produce multiple impacts on New Jersey Sunday into Monday.

What falls from the sky in New Jersey this weekend - rain, snow, ice, or all of the above - will depend totally on the exact track of the storm.

Arctic air will loosen its grip on New Jersey for Wednesday and Thursday, but the warmup and the quiet weather will not last through the upcoming weekend.

This is likely to be New Jersey's coldest day in almost three years. Even though there is a warmup ahead, the arctic chill will return soon enough.

Don't give me that "it's winter, it's supposed to be cold" nonsense - you know you're reaching for the heavy coat and extra blankets this week too.

A few hours of wintry mix and freezing rain in northwestern New Jersey could cause light icing and make for a very slippery scenario on Sunday.

Temperatures across New Jersey will rise above freezing on Sunday, but the ground will be cold enough over part of the state for icing concerns.

Although snowy weather will be limited to Friday morning, New Jersey is going to feel wintry through the afternoon with cold, windy blustery conditions.

Accumulating snow is likely everywhere in NJ overnight. You'll probably go to sleep with bare ground outside, and wake up to a winter wonderland.

While widespread snow accumulations will be light to moderate across New Jersey, Friday morning's commute looks incredibly wintry and challenging.