Sunny and cold Thursday across NJ – light snow this weekend?
Temperatures will generally remain well below seasonal normals through next week, with a few chances for snowflakes along the way.
Here are your weather headlines for Thursday, March 16, 2017...
Still Feels Like Winter
It's been pretty cold across New Jersey over the past few days. Especially yesterday, as temperatures stayed below freezing all day. Oh, and we had that little snow/ice/rain storm on Tuesday too. High temperatures have been stuck below normal for 5 days. And counting.
The thermometers are running frigid again for Thursday morning, as temperatures have dipped into the upper teens and lower 20s. While we saw some heavy snow squalls move through the state on Wednesday, Thursday will remain mostly sunny and dry. High temperatures will be limited to the lower to mid 30s — that's about 15 degrees below normal for mid-March. Yeah, very cold. Bundle up.
A brisk wind will continue on Thursday as well, potentially gusting as high as 35 mph.
Unsurprisingly, Thursday night will be cold too, as lows dip into the lower to mid 20s.
Temps look a bit milder on Friday, with highs climbing to around 40. Still below normal, but better! Skies will start sunny, with clouds increasing as the day presses on.
Next Storm System
Our next storm system will be a pretty weak one, as an atmospheric impulse rides along a warm front sliding north into New Jersey. The likely result is a round of light snow and ice, especially in northern New Jersey. There will be some rain in there too, especially in southern New Jersey. The timing of this storm has been expanded too in our latest forecast, potentially stretching from Friday night through Saturday night.
The exact mode of wintry weather (snow vs. ice vs. rain vs. all-of-the-above) will depend on the ultimate position of that warm front and the resulting temperatures. On the outside, I could see up to 3 inches of snow accumulating north of Interstate 78. As temperatures hover right around the freezing mark, a trace of ice accretion is possible somewhere as well. While there could be snowflakes mixed in at times, I'm leaning toward a "mostly rain" forecast for Central and South Jersey on Saturday.
In any case, Friday night to Saturday admittedly looks a bit messy. But I really don't think this storm system will cause many headaches — it's not a "big one" by any means. No need for a bread and milk run.
Any Warmup in Sight?
No, not really. At least not in the next week.
When I say "warmup" now, I'm really looking for a sustained period of 60+ degree temperatures. That will help to melt the snow and ice, and make it feel like Spring around the Garden State. (The official first day of Spring is Monday, by the way.)
Saturday's high temps will come close to normal in South Jersey, on the warm side of the warm front, near 50 degrees. As chilly air returns on Sunday, high temperatures will be back to around 40 degrees statewide.
Daily high temperatures for next week mostly hover in the 40s to around 50 degrees. Both the GFS and Euro models suggest a warmup around Friday-Saturday of next week. Keep your fingers crossed!